Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Awaiting the Avalanche

J. Ronnie Davis: In a sense, public opinion is like one of those mountain snow accumulations…. As snow builds up, the likelihood that the whole drift will come crashing down the mountain steadily increases. Finally, as the ultimate snowflake falls on top of the drift, the weight is now too much too be borne, and the whole drift comes down. Major changes in public opinion tend to take the same form. A very large number of books, articles, and lectures which appear to have no great effect nevertheless prepare the way. Eventually a critical mass is reached and what appears to be an overnight change of opinion occurs.

IS THE AVALANCHE HAPPENING HIGHER EDUCATION BUBBLE UPDATE: Envisioning a Post-Campus America. “I can see all sorts of factors that might combine to preserve the status quo, from signaling and status and networking, to the desire of college students for a four-year debt-financed semi-vacation.

AUTO INDUSTRY HAD IT HAPPEN: On the other hand, disruption never looks inevitable until it suddenly is–if you’d told someone in 1955 that GM was going to have its lunch eaten by some Japanese upstart, they would have laughed until the tears came. So it’s interesting and maybe even useful to contemplate what the college system would look like if this sort of distance learning becomes the norm.”

WAITING FOR IT TO HAPPEN: The bloated liberal socialist welfare state. Please, please soon!

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